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In this work we describe the development of cost and performance projections for utility-scale lithium-ion battery systems, with a focus on 4-hour duration systems. The projections are
FAQs 6
Do projected cost reductions for battery storage vary over time?
The suite of publications demonstrates wide variation in projected cost reductions for battery storage over time. Figure ES-1 shows the suite of projected cost reductions (on a normalized basis) collected from the literature (shown in gray) as well as the low, mid, and high cost projections developed in this work (shown in black).
How much does commercial battery storage cost?
For large containerized systems (e.g., 100 kWh or more), the cost can drop to $180 - $300 per kWh. A standard 100 kWh system can cost between $25,000 and $50,000, depending on the components and complexity. What are the costs of commercial battery storage?
When are battery cost projections updated?
In 2019, battery cost projections were updated based on publications that focused on utility-scale battery systems (Cole and Frazier 2019), with updates published in 2020 (Cole and Frazier 2020), 2021 (Cole, Frazier, and Augustine 2021), and 2023 (Cole and Karmakar 2023).
Will low Lithium prices affect battery prices in 2025?
In 2025 these conditions will persist and aided by low lithium prices, will continue to put downward pressure on battery prices. In China, battery prices already dipped below $100 per kWh in 2024. Whether we see these low prices around the world in 2025 will depend on trade dynamics for major auto markets, including tariffs.
Why did battery prices fall 20% in 2024?
In 2024, global average battery prices fell 20% to $115 per kWh, driven by excess production capacity in China and burgeoning low-cost battery chemistries like lithium iron phosphate. In 2025 these conditions will persist and aided by low lithium prices, will continue to put downward pressure on battery prices.
What are battery cost projections for 4-hour lithium-ion systems?
Battery cost projections for 4-hour lithium-ion systems, with values relative to 2024. The high, mid, and low cost projections developed in this work are shown as bold lines. Published projections are shown as gray lines. Figure values are included in the Appendix.
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